D.C.-area forecast: Today’s rain focus is on morning; strong storms possible Sunday

WEATHER NEWS: D.C.-area forecast: Today’s rain focus is on morning; strong storms possible Sunday

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A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: I might sleep in and hope raindrops are ending by midday. Could be considerably better than a 6 by late day.

  • Today: Showers, focused early. Afternoon clearing? Highs: Mid- and upper 70s.
  • Tonight: A couple showers possible. Lows: Low to mid-60s.
  • Tomorrow: Partly cloudy. Showers and storms focused late. Highs: Low to mid-80s.

Although we have some relatively cool air in place today, the pattern ahead looks like classic summer. Warmer air makes its move starting Sunday. It brings humidity along for the ride, As temperatures rise toward 90 early in the workweek, chances for storms divebombing us from the northwest may increase as well.

Today (Saturday): Showers and perhaps a storm are around during the morning. Raindrops should tend to wane and we probably get into some clearing for the afternoon. Winds are light and variable around five to 10 mph, mainly coming from the south by later in the day. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Like last night, shower odds rise near and after midnight. Anything that falls is pretty light and intermittent. Light winds blow from the south. Confidence: Medium-High

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Tomorrow (Sunday): It’s a sultry start and it stays humid through the day. Temperatures strive for the mid-80s but plentiful afternoon showers and storms could thwart that effort. A couple storms could be strong to severe, with wind damage and heavy rain plus lightning the main threats. Winds are from the south and southwest around five to 10 mph. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Once daytime showers and storms end, skies are partly cloudy. With dew points in the mid- and upper 60s in most spots, it’s not going to cool off much. Look for lows in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Perhaps some patchy fog, especially in any places it rains during the day. Confidence: Medium

It’s a toasty start to the workweek on Monday. Skies are mainly sunny as temperatures rise toward 90 for highs. We could see an isolated storm or two in the late-day heat. Confidence: Medium

By Tuesday, we’re going to need to keep an eye out to the northwest and west. We’re entering into mesoscale convective system (MCS) season. This is when we get complexes of storms diving in on us in the upper-level flow. If the timing is right, they can be quite intense. We should have plentiful heat and moisture around, with highs near 90. Confidence: Low-Medium

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